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Probability of at least one success

Probability of at least one success: For independent equal-probability trials, P(at least one success) = 1−(1−p)^n.

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How it works

For independent equal-probability trials, P(at least one success) = 1−(1−p)^n.

Input definitions

Independent success probability per trial
Enter the value in the labeled unit.
Number of trials
Enter the value in the labeled unit.

A worked example

Independent success probability per trial
0.1
Number of trials
10
0.651322

Assumptions & limits

Uses the units and scope stated in the input labels. Results are rounded for display; verify the model is appropriate for your situation.

Sources & review

Maintained by AnsRio. Methods and examples use automated checks; this does not imply independent professional certification.

Method updated 2026-10-18. Content checked against the stated method and examples. Our verification approach.

Common questions

What if the trials are dependent?

The formula requires independence and the same success probability on every trial. Dependent events require a model for their joint probabilities.

How does Probability of at least one success work?

For independent equal-probability trials, P(at least one success) = 1−(1−p)^n.

What should I check before using Probability of at least one success?

Uses the units and scope stated in the input labels. Results are rounded for display; verify the model is appropriate for your situation.

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